The Goulburn River at Shepparton is now expected to peak at 10.7m late on Thursday night or early on Friday morning.
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This is 30cm below the initial predictions a few days ago.
This means the flood of the Goulburn River will now be a moderate one, and not a major one.
Shepparton Incident Control Centre incident controller Ray Jasper maintained that no houses or shops in Shepparton or Mooroopna will flood.
But some roads and properties will flood, and people may be cut off for up to 12 hours before the water recedes.
The depth of the water level will “not be huge”, according to Mr Jasper, but he urged people to continue to heed the warnings not to walk or drive through floodwater.
“You might be inconvenienced for a short period of time,” he said.
Shepparton Search and Rescue and SES volunteers have doorknocked at least 450 homes, with plans to get to 600, in parts of Shepparton, Mooroopna and Kialla West on Wednesday morning to give reassurance to residents of how any flooding of the area will affect them.
“It’s reassurance and making sure they have enough supplies to last 12 to 18 hours,” Mr Jasper said.
Watt Rd between Shepparton and Mooroopna closed to traffic at 5pm on Wednesday, while Bridge Rd, Toolamba closed on Wednesday morning.
The Broken River and Seven Creeks are expected to be full, but not break their banks, according to Mr Jasper.
A sandbag facility continues to remain open at Shepparton Showgrounds in High St, Shepparton, while one opened at Ardmona Resource Recovery Centre at 770 Turnbull Rd in Mooroopna on Wednesday for anyone needing them.
Undera, Bunbartha and Barmah are all expecting moderate flooding, according to Mr Jasper.
He said predictions were for no houses to be flooded, but there would be some flooding on farms.
Advice has already gone out for farmers to remove pumps from the river and to move stock to higher ground.
McCoys Bridge may exceed the minor flood level on Thursday afternoon, before peaking at a moderate flood level over the weekend.
In Nagambie, the river peaked at a moderate flood level of 12.73m about 1am on Wednesday.
Mr Jasper said no houses were flooded in Nagambie.
However, more water than expected poured into the Nagambie Caravan Park, with the ground across pretty much the entire caravan park covered in water.
However, unlike during the 2022 floods, no water went into cabins, which have been rebuilt much higher than the previous ones.
Water did, however, go into the laundry and bathroom facilities at the park.
No-one was staying at the park at the time because park management evacuated it on Tuesday.
Mr Jasper said authorities were surprised at the amount of water that entered the caravan park, given the river level at Nagambie.
“It is being investigated what made the difference this time,” he said.
In Murchison, the flood peaked at 10.47m about 11.30am on Wednesday.
Five houses were isolated, with the residents choosing to remain behind.
No homes were flooded.
The CFA was on the ground pumping water in the town.
Powercor also attended to a tree that had hit a powerline on Old Wilks Rd, however the power supply was not impacted.
The bridge at Murchison was expected to be checked by VicRoads for debris after the water had receded.
Senior Journalist