Victoria is set for heavy rains, freezing temperatures and strong winds this weekend, but the Goulburn Valley may escape the worst of the storm.
The region has received high levels of rainfall in the past week, following a relatively dry June and July.
Bureau of Meteorology senior forecaster Rod Dickson said falls of up to 21mm hit Kyabram and Tatura on Thursday night, making August the wettest month this winter.
Mr Dickson said a low pressure system over NSW last week had dragged moisture across northern Victoria.
‘‘The June and July period has been typically restricted by a high pressure sitting across the state, so that has caused a lot of cold, frosty mornings and dry days without much significant rainfall,’’ he said.
The average to below average rainfall in July followed on from a record dry June, giving Victoria its second driest start to winter on record.
Daytime temperatures were typically above average with some very warm days at the end of the month and a large area recorded rainfall in the lowest 10 per cent of July totals, with the highest fall reaching only 4mm.
But Mr Dickson said this weekend’s fronts, which should move through Shepparton and surrounds last night and today, would break the dry spell.
‘‘Shepparton is probably not going to produce huge amounts of rain when compared to the entire state, but you should see a couple of millimetres with a front on Friday night and early into Saturday morning,’’ he said.
‘‘A front on Saturday night and into early Sunday will be a little stronger and looks like we’ll see perhaps anywhere between two and 10mm.
‘‘The showers will then mostly contract to southern and mountain areas, so there will be a chance of a shower on Monday, but probably only a 1mm or two.’’
A high pressure ridge moving across the state from Wednesday should bring in fine conditions and temperatures up to 17°C.